Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000673 0.000772 0.000877 0.000996 0.001128 0.001268 0.001428
2025-05-25 0.000517 0.000653 0.000808 0.000996 0.001216 0.001464 0.001763
2025-06-01 0.000418 0.000565 0.000742 0.000966 0.001239 0.001558 0.001956
2025-06-08 0.000343 0.000495 0.000686 0.000937 0.001255 0.001638 0.002128
2025-06-15 0.000296 0.000453 0.000656 0.000934 0.001296 0.001744 0.002330
2025-06-22 0.000258 0.000417 0.000631 0.000932 0.001335 0.001844 0.002524
2025-06-29 0.000224 0.000381 0.000601 0.000920 0.001357 0.001922 0.002690
2025-07-06 0.000193 0.000346 0.000569 0.000902 0.001369 0.001983 0.002834
2025-07-13 0.000177 0.000333 0.000566 0.000922 0.001431 0.002113 0.003069
2025-07-20 0.000162 0.000318 0.000558 0.000935 0.001483 0.002229 0.003287
2025-07-27 0.000143 0.000295 0.000537 0.000925 0.001502 0.002298 0.003445
2025-08-03 0.000125 0.000271 0.000513 0.000909 0.001510 0.002352 0.003580
2025-08-10 0.000114 0.000260 0.000507 0.000922 0.001561 0.002469 0.003807
2025-08-17 0.000103 0.000246 0.000495 0.000924 0.001596 0.002563 0.004005
2025-08-24 0.000087 0.000222 0.000466 0.000895 0.001583 0.002587 0.004104
2025-08-31 0.000075 0.000201 0.000439 0.000868 0.001570 0.002611 0.004201
2025-09-07 0.000067 0.000189 0.000427 0.000866 0.001594 0.002689 0.004377
2025-09-14 0.000059 0.000178 0.000415 0.000863 0.001619 0.002767 0.004554
2025-09-21 0.000052 0.000165 0.000400 0.000852 0.001627 0.002820 0.004697
2025-09-28 0.000045 0.000152 0.000381 0.000835 0.001626 0.002858 0.004815
2025-10-05 0.000042 0.000149 0.000383 0.000854 0.001684 0.002988 0.005073
2025-10-12 0.000039 0.000144 0.000381 0.000866 0.001731 0.003102 0.005309
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000135 0.000369 0.000857 0.001741 0.003158 0.005459